United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 2010

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United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 2010

← 2004 November 2, 2010 2016 →
  Ron Johnson, official portrait, 112th Congress.jpg 125px
Nominee Ron Johnson Russ Feingold
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 1,125,932 1,020,841
Percentage 51.9% 47.0%

100px
County results

U.S. senator before election

Russ Feingold
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Ron Johnson
Republican

The 2010 United States Senate election in Wisconsin was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Russ Feingold ran for re-election to a fourth term, but was defeated by political newcomer[1] Republican Ron Johnson.

Republican primary

Candidates

On the ballot
Declined

Campaign

Former Republican Governor of Wisconsin Tommy Thompson had expressed an interest in challenging Feingold,[6] but ruled himself out of the race in April 2010.[7]

Johnson, a millionaire manufacturer and Tea Party movement favorite who was running for his first political office, was the front runner. In response to controversy over his ownership of stock in British Petroleum (BP), Johnson said he would sell it when market conditions were favorable and possibly use the proceeds to help finance his Senate campaign.[8] Johnson was endorsed by the national GOP establishment as well as the fiscally conservative 501(c)4 organization Club for Growth. Former Wisconsin Republican Lt. Governor Margaret Farrow and Republican U.S. Senator Jim DeMint of South Carolina endorsed Johnson,[9][10] as did Wisconsin Republican U.S. Representatives Jim Sensenbrenner, Tom Petri and Paul Ryan.[11] Westlake was endorsed by the Republican Liberty Caucus.[12] According to the Center for Responsive Politics, as of August 25, 2010, Johnson had invested $4.3 million of his own money into his campaign, which represented 71 percent of his campaign funds, while 27 percent of his campaign funds ($1.6 million) came from individual contributions.[13]

Polling

Poll Source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
Error
Ron Johnson Dave Westlake Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (report[dead link]) June 26-27, 2010 400 ± 4.9% 49% 11% –– 40%

Results

Republican Primary results[14]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ron Johnson 500,821 84.7
Republican David Westlake 61,287 10.4
Republican Stephen M. Finn 29,002 4.9
Total votes 591,107 100

General election

Candidates

Campaign

Feingold's first television ad was a positive ad released in March. In July 2010, Feingold's second 2010 television election ad attacked Johnson for alleged support for offshore drilling in the Great Lakes. Johnson quickly countered Feingold with a television ad of his own.[17] Feingold's logo was Moving Forward. In one ad he emphasized independence and called himself a "Penny Pincher." [18] Johnson argued that his professions, manufacturer and accountant were underrepresented in the U.S. Senate, and there were too many lawyers (57 out of 100 members), including Feingold.[19] Feingold received the endorsements of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel and the Green Bay Press-Gazette.[20] The Beloit Daily News endorsed Johnson.[21]

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report Leans R[24] October 31, 2010
Rothenberg Leans R[25] October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics Leans R[26] October 31, 2010
Rasmussen Reports Leans R[27] October 30, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball Leans R[28] October 28, 2010
CQ Politics Leans R[29] October 31, 2010

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Russ
Feingold (D)
Ron
Johnson (R)
Other Undecided
Rasmussen Reports May 25, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 46% 44% 3% 6%
Rasmussen Reports June 21, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 46% 45% 3% 6%
Public Policy Polling[dead link] June 26-27, 2010 638 ± 3.9% 45% 43% –– 12%
Rasmussen Reports July 13, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 46% 47% 2% 6%
University of Wisconsin, Madison[dead link] July 15, 2010 500 ± 3.9% 33% 28% –– 44%
Magellan Strategies July 20, 2010 1,145 ± 2.9% 45% 43% 3.7% 8%
Rasmussen Reports July 27, 2010 500 ± 4.0% 46% 48% 2% 5%
Rasmussen Reports August 11, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 46% 47% 2% 5%
Rasmussen Reports August 24, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 46% 47% 1% 5%
Rasmussen Reports September 15, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 44% 51% 1% 4%
Public Policy Polling September 18-19, 2010 –– ± 3.8% 41% 52% –– 7%
CNN/Time/Opinion Research September 17-21, 2010 963 ± 3.0% 45% 51% 2% 2%
McClatchy/Marist September 26-28, 2010 806 ± 3.5% 45% 52% 1% 3%
Rasmussen Reports September 29, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 42% 54% 2% 2%
We the People September 29-Oct. 4, 2010 400 ± 5.0% 41% 49% –– ––
We the People/Ispos October 8, 2010 400 ± 5.0% 44% 51% –– ––
Rasmussen Reports October 11, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 45% 52% –– 2%
CNN/Time/Opinion Research October 8-12, 2010 1,506 ± 2.5% 44% 52% 1% ––
St. Norbert College/WPR[dead link] October 12-15, 2010 402 ± 5.0% 47% 49% –– 4%
Rasmussen Reports October 25, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 46% 53% 0% 1%
We the People[dead link] October 24-27, 2010 400 ± 5.0% 44% 48% –– 6%
Public Policy Polling[dead link] October 26-28, 2010 1,372 ± 2.6% 44% 53% –– 3%
Marist College October 26-28, 2010 811 ± 4.5% 45% 52% 1% 2%

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Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
Error
Russ
Feingold
(D)
David
Westlake
(R)
Other Unde-
cided
Public Policy Polling (report[dead link]) June 26-27, 2010 638 ± 3.9% 45% 38% -- 17%
Rasmussen Reports (report) June 21, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 47% 41% 4% 7%
Rasmussen Reports (report) May 25, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 47% 38% 7% 8%
Public Policy Polling (report[dead link]) March 23, 2010 700 ± 3.7% 48% 31% 21%
Rasmussen Reports (report) March 16, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 51% 35% 5% 10%
Rasmussen Reports (report) February 17, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 47% 37% 6% 10%
Public Policy Polling (report[dead link]) November 20-22, 2009 767 ± 3.5% 47% 32% 21%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
Error
Russ
Feingold
(D)
Tommy
Thompson
(R)
Other Unde-
cided
Public Policy Polling (report[dead link]) March 23, 2010 700 ± 3.7% 47% 44% 9%
Rasmussen Reports (report) March 16, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 45% 47% 3% 4%
WPRI (report) March 9, 2010 600 ± 4.0% 39% 51% 9%
Rasmussen Reports (report) February 17, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 43% 48% 3% 5%
Rasmussen Reports (report) January 26, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 43% 47% 6% 4%
Public Policy Polling (report[dead link]) November 20-22, 2009 767 ± 3.5% 50% 41% 10%
WPRI (report) September 27-29, 2009 700 ± 3.8% 39% 43% 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
Error
Russ
Feingold
(D)
Terrence
Wall
(R)
Other Unde-
cided
Public Policy Polling (report[dead link]) March 23, 2010 700 ± 3.7% 48% 34% 18%
Rasmussen Reports (report) March 16, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 49% 40% 3% 9%
WPRI (report) March 9, 2010 600 ± 4.0% 47% 32% 6% 7%
Rasmussen Reports (report) February 17, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 47% 39% 6% 7%
Public Policy Polling (report[dead link]) November 20-22, 2009 767 ± 3.5% 48% 34% 19%

Fundraising

Through 12/31/2010

Candidate (Party) Net Receipts Disbursements Beginning Cash Latest Cash On Hand Debt
Russ Feingold (D) $13,947,563 $15,544,093 $2,516,119 $919,585 $0
Ron Johnson (R) $15,509,297 $15,316,651 $0 $192,646 $8,708,465
Source: Federal Election Commission[30]

Results

2010 Fall General election results[31]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Ron Johnson 1,125,999 51.86 +7.75
Democratic Russ Feingold (incumbent) 1,020,958 47.02 -8.33
Constitution Rob Taylor 23,473 1.08 N/A
Write-In Votes 901 0.04 N/A
Majority 105,041 4.84 -6.4
Turnout 2,170,430 100 -26.4
Republican gain from Democratic

References

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External links

Official campaign websites
  1. 1.0 1.1 Umhoefer, Dave and Don Walker. "Johnson leads race for GOP Senate bid: 2 lesser-known foes fight for recognition, funds" Milwaukee Journal Sentinel September 4, 2010
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  13. Center for Responsive Politics, Aug 25 2010, accessed Oct 1 2010, http://www.opensecrets.org/races/summary.php?id=WIS2&cycle=2010
  14. The 2010 Results Maps - POLITICO.com
  15. Rob Taylor for Senate website
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  17. [1][dead link]
  18. Washington-based group airs ad attacking Feingold - JSOnline
  19. PolitiFact Wisconsin | Ron Johnson says there are 57 lawyers, including Russ Feingold, in the U.S. Senate
  20. Wis. Newspapers Unveil Election Endorsements - Milwaukee News Story - WISN Milwaukee[dead link]
  21. [2][dead link]
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  23. Feingold holds roundtable discussion in Eau Claire - WQOW TV: Eau Claire, WI NEWS18 News, Weather, and Sports
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