Arizona gubernatorial election, 2010
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Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The Arizona gubernatorial election of 2010 was held on November 2, 2010 to elect the Governor of Arizona. Incumbent Republican Jan Brewer ran for her first full term. Party primaries were held on August 24, 2010. Jan Brewer won a full term, defeating Attorney General Goddard 54% to 42%.
Contents
Background
Democratic Governor Janet Napolitano was term limited and nominated to become Secretary of Homeland Security by President-elect Barack Obama, and was confirmed by the United States Senate on January 20, 2009, resigning as governor the same day.[1] Since Arizona does not have a lieutenant governor, Republican Secretary of State Jan Brewer was first in the state's gubernatorial line of succession and was sworn in as governor upon Napolitano's resignation. Brewer announced on November 5, 2009 that she would seek a full term in 2010.[2]
Democratic primary
Candidate
Declined
- Phoenix Mayor Phil Gordon
- Former Tempe Mayor Neil Giuliano
Republican primary
The primary to select the 2010 Republican nominee for governor of Arizona was held on August 24, 2010.[4][5]
Candidates
- Incumbent Governor Jan Brewer
Withdrew
- Arizona State Treasurer Dean Martin (dropped out on July 9, 2010 and endorsed Brewer)[6]
- National Rifle Association Board of Directors member Owen Mills (dropped out on July 13, 2010)[7]
Declined
- Former Governor of Arizona Fife Symington[8]
- Former U.S. Congressman J.D. Hayworth
- Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio[9]
- Former Arizona Republican Party Chair John Munger[10]
- Paradise Valley Mayor Vernon Parker (running for Congress)
Polling
| Poll source | Dates administered | Jan Brewer (inc.) | Dean Martin* | Buz Mills* |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | June 16, 2010 | 72% | 12% | 16% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 17, 2010 | 45% | 18% | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 23–25, 2010 | 25% | 15% | 11% |
| 58% | 16% | 19% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | April 13, 2010 | 26% | 12% | 18% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 15, 2010 | 20% | 21% | 19% |
| Rasmussen Reports | January 20, 2010 | 29% | 27% | -- |
| Rasmussen Reports | November 18, 2009 | 10% | 22% | -- |
| Public Policy Polling | September 21, 2009 | 39% | 26% | -- |
- * Dropped out of race after entering to seek the nomination
Results
| Republican primary results[5] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Republican | Jan Brewer (Incumbent) | 479,153 | 81.53 | |
| Republican | Buz Mills* | 51,001 | 8.68 | |
| Republican | Dean Martin* | 36,012 | 6.13 | |
| Republican | Matthew Jette | 19,611 | 3.34 | |
| Republican | Write-in | 1,906 | 0.32 | |
| Total votes | 587,683 | 100 | ||
- * Dropped out prior to primary, but still appeared on ballot
Libertarian primary
Candidates
- Ronald Cavanaugh
- Barry Hess
- Bruce Olsen
- Alvin Ray Yount
Results
| Libertarian primary results[5] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Libertarian | Barry Hess | 1,303 | 43.38 | |
| Libertarian | Bruce Olsen | 612 | 20.37 | |
| Libertarian | Ronald Cavanaugh | 547 | 18.21 | |
| Libertarian | Write-in | 299 | 9.95 | |
| Libertarian | Alvin Ray Yount | 243 | 8.09 | |
| Total votes | 3,004 | 100 | ||
General election
Candidates
- Jan Brewer (R), incumbent Governor
- Terry Goddard (D), Attorney General
- Barry Hess (L)
- Larry Gist (G)
Polling
Polling was very favorable towards Jan Brewer.
| Poll source | Dates administered | Terry Goddard (D) | Jan Brewer (R) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | October 28, 2010 | 39% | 53% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 23–24, 2010 | 44% | 52% |
| BRC Polls | October 11, 2010 | 35% | 38% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 3, 2010 | 39% | 55% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 7, 2010 | 38% | 60% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 25, 2010 | 38% | 57% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 21, 2010 | 37% | 56% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 29, 2010 | 35% | 53% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 17, 2010 | 39% | 52% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 27, 2010 | 40% | 48% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 23–25, 2010 | 47% | 44% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 14, 2010 | 40% | 44% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 16, 2010 | 45% | 43% |
| Rasmussen Reports | January 20, 2010 | 43% | 42% |
| Rasmussen Reports | November 18, 2009 | 44% | 42% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 27, 2009 | 42% | 40% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 7, 2009 | 46% | 36% |
Debate
On September 1, the first and only debate was held between all four candidates and moderated by Ted Simons. The debate drew national attention after Jan Brewer "stumbled and stammered" through her opening statements. Before the debate the governor had made several comments about there being beheadings in the desert. During the debate Terry Goddard tried to get the governor to admit that it was a false statement. Goddard said quote Jan I'm going to give you an opportunity to admit that was a false statement but of course the governor Steered clear of the question. After the debate reporters were demanding answers, and still she would just not answer the question.[11] After the debate, Brewer stated that she would do no more debates.[12][13]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jan Brewer (inc.) | 938,934 | 54.33% | +18.89% | |
| Democratic | Terry Goddard | 733,935 | 42.43% | -20.11% | |
| Libertarian | Barry Hess | 38,722 | 2.24% | +0.27% | |
| Green | Larry Gist | 16,128 | 0.93% | ||
| Write-ins | 362 | 0.02% | |||
| Majority | 204,999 | 11.86% | -15.28% | ||
| Turnout | 1,728,081 | ||||
| Republican hold | Swing | ||||
References
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<references />, or <references group="..." />External links
- Elections at the Arizona Secretary of State
- Arizona Governor Candidates at Project Vote Smart
- Arizona Governor 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
- 2010 Arizona Governor General Election: Jan Brewer (R) vs Terry Goddard (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Arizona Governor from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Arizona Governor Race from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Arizona Governor's Race from CQ Politics
- Campaign contributions for 2010 Arizona Governor from Follow the Money
- Race Profile in The New York Times
- Debates
- Arizona Governor Debate, C-SPAN, September 1, 2010, full video (58:00)
- Official campaign sites
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- ↑ http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/38981701/ns/politics-decision_2010/
- ↑ http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo.com/2010/09/jan-brewer-im-done-with-debates.php
- ↑ http://azstarnet.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/elections/article_cfb8fb2a-20a9-59d0-9276-ffaf4067b082.html
- ↑ http://www.azsos.gov/election/2010/General/Canvass2010GE.pdf
