2018 Wisconsin gubernatorial election
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The 2018 Wisconsin gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of the U.S. state of Wisconsin. It occurred concurrently with the election of Wisconsin's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Tony Evers defeated Scott Walker to become governor-elect of Wisconsin, with his running mate Mandela Barnes becoming lieutenant governor-elect.
Incumbent Republican Governor Scott Walker ran for a third term. Incumbent Wisconsin Superintendent of Public Instruction Tony Evers became the Democratic nominee after the August 14 primary, winning amongst a crowded field of Democrats. Chair of the Wisconsin Libertarian Party Phil Anderson challenged the election, running on the Libertarian ticket, and Maggie Turnbull ran as an independent. The results were very close, but Evers was declared the winner in the early hours of November 7. Walker initially planned to seek a recount, but he could not because of a law that he signed himself that said a candidate can only request a recount if that candidate lost by a margin of less than 1%. He lost by 1.09% and later conceded the race to Evers.
Contents
Republican primary
Governor
Candidates
Nominated
- Scott Walker, incumbent Governor[1][2][3]
Eliminated in primary
- Robert Meyer, businessman and candidate for Mayor of Sun Prairie in 2007[4]
Endorsements
| Scott Walker |
|---|
|
Results
| Republican primary results[13] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Republican | Scott Walker (incumbent) | 417,619 | 91.6 | |
| Republican | Robert Meyer | 38,347 | 8.4 | |
| Total votes | 455,966 | 100% | ||
Lieutenant Governor
Candidates
Declared
- Rebecca Kleefisch, incumbent Lieutenant Governor[14]
Results
| Republican primary results | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Republican | Rebecca Kleefisch (incumbent) | 407,420 | 99.73% | |
| Total votes | ' | ' | ||
Democratic primary
Governor
Nominated
- Tony Evers, Wisconsin State Superintendent of Public Instruction[15][16][17]
Eliminated in primary
- Matt Flynn, former chair of the Democratic Party of Wisconsin and retired partner at Quarles & Brady[18]
- Mike McCabe, former executive director of Wisconsin Democracy Campaign and candidate for the State Assembly in 1998[19][20][21]
- Mahlon Mitchell, president of the Professional Fire Fighters of Wisconsin and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2012[22]
- Josh Pade, lawyer[23]
- Kelda Roys, former state representative and candidate for WI-02 in 2012[24]
- Paul Soglin, Mayor of Madison[25][26][27]
- Kathleen Vinehout, state senator and candidate for governor in 2012[28][29][30][19][31][32]
Withdrew
- Mike Crute, liberal talk radio broadcaster[33] (endorsed Mike McCabe)
- Michele Doolan, businesswoman[34] (endorsed Matt Flynn)
- Andy Gronik, businessman[35][36] (still on ballot; endorsed Kelda Roys)
- Bob Harlow, candidate for CA-18 in 2016[37] (endorsed Matt Flynn)
- Kurt Kober, businessman[38][39][18] (running for lieutenant governor)
- Jeff Rumbaugh, disability worker at UW-Waisman Center Community TIES and activist.[33] (endorsed Mike McCabe)
- Dana Wachs, State Representative[40] (still on ballot; endorsed Tony Evers)
Declined
- Chris Abele, Milwaukee County Executive[41][42][43]
- Mark Bakken, businessman[30][44]
- Peter Barca, State Representative and former U.S. Representative[28][45]
- Tom Barrett, Mayor of Milwaukee, former U.S. Representative and nominee for governor in 2010 and 2012.[46][47]
- John T. Chisholm, Milwaukee County District Attorney (endorsed Matt Flynn)[48][49]
- Kevin Conroy, president and CEO of Exact Sciences[50][51]
- Timothy Cullen, former State Senator[52]
- Katherine Gehl, former president and CEO of Gehl Foods[29][53]
- Gordon Hintz, Minority Leader of the State Assembly[30][19]
- Brett Hulsey, former state representative and candidate for governor in 2014[54][18][55]
- Ron Kind, U.S. Representative[50][56][57][58][59]
- James Kreuser, Kenosha County Executive[28][30]
- Joe Parisi, Dane County Executive[60]
- Mark Pocan, U.S. Representative[61]
- Jennifer Shilling, Democratic Leader of the State Senate[50][29][62]
Endorsements
| Tony Evers |
|---|
|
| Matt Flynn |
|---|
|
| Mike McCabe |
|---|
|
| Mahlon Mitchell |
|---|
|
| Kelda Roys |
|---|
|
| Dana Wachs (withdrew) |
|---|
|
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tony Evers |
Matt Flynn |
Andy Gronik* |
Mike McCabe |
Mahlon Mitchell |
Josh Pade |
Kelda Roys |
Paul Soglin |
Kathleen Vinehout |
Dana Wachs* |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | July 26–28, 2018 | 282 | ± 6.3% | 30% | 5% | – | 5% | 5% | – | 7% | 5% | 10% | – | – | 33% |
| Marist College | July 15–19, 2018 | 466 | ± 5.3% | 25% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 2% | <1% | 41% |
| Marquette University | July 11–15, 2018 | 305 | ± 6.6% | 31% | 5% | – | 3% | 6% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 6% | – | 0% | 38% |
| Marquette University | June 13–17, 2018 | 278 | ± 6.4% | 25% | 7% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 34% |
| FM3 Research (D-Soglin) | March 16–19, 2018 | 601 | ± 4.0% | 30% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 6% | – | 3% | 17% | 12% | 3% | – | 16% |
| Marquette University | February 25 – March 1, 2018 | 318 | ± 7.1% | 18% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 4% | – | 0% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 44% |
| Public Policy Polling (D-Evers) | January 8–10, 2018 | 747 | ± 3.6% | 29% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 5% | – | 2% | 10% | 11% | 4% | – | 28% |
An asterisk (*) denotes that a candidate withdrew before the primary but remains on the ballot.
Results
File:2018 WI Gubernatorial D primary.svg
Results by county:
Evers—50–60%
Evers—40–50%
Evers—<40%
Mitchell—<40%
Vinehout—<40%
Vinehout—40–50%
Vinehout—50–60%
| Democratic primary results[13] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Democratic | Tony Evers | 224,502 | 41.8 | |
| Democratic | Mahlon Mitchell | 88,077 | 16.4 | |
| Democratic | Kelda Roys | 68,952 | 12.8 | |
| Democratic | Kathleen Vinehout | 43,975 | 8.2 | |
| Democratic | Mike McCabe | 39,745 | 7.4 | |
| Democratic | Matt Flynn | 31,539 | 5.9 | |
| Democratic | Paul Soglin | 28,128 | 5.2 | |
| Democratic | Josh Pade | 1,929 | 0.4 | |
| Democratic | Others | 10,872 | 2 | |
| Total votes | 537,719 | 100% | ||
Lieutenant Governor
Declared
- Mandela Barnes, former State Representative[86][87]
- Kurt Kober, businessman[88]
Results
| Democratic primary results[13] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Democratic | Mandela Barnes | 326,051 | 68 | |
| Democratic | Kurt Kober | 153,698 | 32 | |
| Total votes | 479,749 | 100 | ||
Libertarian convention
Governor
Nominee
- Phil Anderson, chairman of the Wisconsin Libertarian Party and Libertarian nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2016[89]
Endorsements
| Phil Anderson |
|---|
|
Lieutenant Governor
Nominee
- Patrick Baird, U.S. Navy veteran[91]
Green Party primary
Governor
Nominated
- Michael White
Withdrew
- Nick De Leon, pastor (endorsed Matt Flynn)[72]
Results
| Green primary results | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Green | Michael White | 817 | 95.8 | |
| Green | Others | 36 | 4.2 | |
| Total votes | 853 | 100 | ||
Lieutenant Governor
Nominated
Tiffany Anderson
Results
| Green primary results | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Green | Tiffany Anderson | 793 | 98 | |
| Green | Others | 16 | 2 | |
| Total votes | 809 | 100 | ||
Independent
Governor
Nominee
- Maggie Turnbull, astrobiologist[94]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[95] | Tossup | September 14, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[96] | Tossup | September 14, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[97] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[98] | Tossup | September 19, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[99] | Tossup | September 17, 2018 |
| Fox News[100][lower-alpha 1] | Lean D | October 10, 2018 |
| Politico[101] | Tossup | October 9, 2018 |
| Governing[102] | Tossup | October 2, 2018 |
| FiveThirtyEight[103] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| The Washington Post[104] | Tossup | October 16, 2018 |
- Notes
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Scott Walker (R) |
Tony Evers (D) |
Phil Anderson (L) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 44% | 45% | – | 3% | 9% |
| Emerson College | October 29–31, 2018 | 604 | ± 4.1% | 46% | 51% | – | 2% | 1% |
| Marquette University | October 24–28, 2018 | 1,154 LV | ± 3.2% | 47% | 47% | 3% | – | 0% |
| 1,400 RV | ± 3.0% | 47% | 44% | 5% | – | 2% | ||
| Ipsos | October 12–18, 2018 | 1,193 | ± 3.0% | 45% | 48% | – | 2% | 5% |
| Marquette University | October 3–7, 2018 | 799 LV | ± 3.9% | 47% | 46% | 5% | – | 1% |
| 1,000 RV | ± 3.6% | 47% | 43% | 7% | – | 2% | ||
| Marist College | September 30 – October 3, 2018 | 571 LV | ± 4.8% | 42% | 50% | 3% | 2%[105] | 3% |
| 43% | 53% | – | 1% | 3% | ||||
| 781 RV | ± 4.1% | 42% | 49% | 3% | 3%[106] | 4% | ||
| 43% | 52% | – | 1% | 3% | ||||
| Ipsos | September 14–24, 2018 | 1,109 | ± 3.0% | 43% | 50% | – | 3% | 4% |
| Marquette University | September 12–16, 2018 | 614 LV | ± 4.4% | 44% | 49% | 6% | – | 1% |
| 800 RV | ± 4.0% | 43% | 47% | 7% | – | 2% | ||
| Public Policy Polling (D-High Ground Action Fund) | September 4–5, 2018 | 726 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 49% | – | – | 6% |
| Suffolk University | August 18–24, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 44% | 46% | 2% | 1%[107] | 7% |
| Marquette University | August 15–19, 2018 | 601 LV | ± 4.5% | 46% | 46% | 6% | – | 2% |
| 800 RV | ± 4.0% | 46% | 44% | 7% | – | 3% | ||
| Public Policy Polling | August 15–16, 2018 | 596 | ± 4.0% | 44% | 49% | – | – | 7% |
| Emerson College | July 26–28, 2018 | 632 | ± 4.2% | 41% | 48% | – | 5% | 7% |
| Marist College | July 15–19, 2018 | 906 | ± 3.8% | 41% | 54% | – | <1% | 5% |
| Marquette University | June 13–17, 2018 | 800 | ± 4.0% | 48% | 44% | – | – | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling (D-Evers) | May 9–10, 2018 | 644 | ± 3.9% | 45% | 49% | – | – | 6% |
| Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Results
Evers won the election by a 1.09% margin.[108]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tony Evers | 1,324,307 | 49.54% | +2.95% | |
| Republican | Scott Walker (incumbent) | 1,295,080 | 48.44% | -3.82% | |
| Libertarian | Phil Anderson | 20,255 | 0.76% | N/A | |
| Independent | Maggie Turnbull | 18,884 | 0.71% | N/A | |
| Green | Michael White | 11,087 | 0.41% | N/A | |
| Independent | Arnie Enz | 2,745 | 0.10% | N/A | |
| n/a | Write-ins | 980 | 0.04% | -0.02% | |
| Total votes | 2,673,308 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | |||||
See also
References
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- Official campaign websites
- Phil Anderson (L) for Governor
- Arnie Enz (WI Party) for Governor
- Tony Evers (D) for Governor
- Robbie Hoffman (I) for Governor
- Maggie Turnbull (I) for Governor
- Scott Walker (R) for Governor
- Michael White (G) for Governor
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- ↑ Michael White (G) with 2%, other with <1%
- ↑ Michael White (G) with 3%, other with <1%
- ↑ Arnie Enz (WP) with 1%, Maggie Turnbull (I) and Michael White (G) with 0%
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- ↑ https://elections.wi.gov/sites/default/files/Canvass%20Results%20%282%29.pdf
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