2024 Missouri gubernatorial election

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For related races, see 2024 United States gubernatorial elections.

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2024 Missouri gubernatorial election
← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
Reporting
0%
as of 9:00 AM EDT
  File:Mike Kehoe official photo.jpg File:3x4.svg
Nominee Mike Kehoe Crystal Quade
Party Republican Democratic
270px
County results
Incumbent Governor

Mike Parson
Republican


Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2024 Missouri gubernatorial election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of Missouri, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican governor Mike Parson is term-limited and cannot seek re-election to a second full term in office due to having served more than two years of predecessor Eric Greitens' unexpired term following his resignation in June 2018. Primary elections took place on August 6, 2024.[1] Mike Kehoe, the incumbent lieutenant governor, won the Republican nomination, while Crystal Quade, the Minority Leader of the Missouri House of Representatives, won the Democratic nomination.[2]

A former bellwether state, Missouri has politically trended rightward in recent years and is today a Republican stronghold at both the federal and state levels. The last Democrat to hold the office of governor in Missouri was Jay Nixon, who comfortably won re-election in 2012. In 2020, Parson won by 16.41%, the first time a Republican gubernatorial candidate won by a double-digit margin since John Ashcroft's landslide re-election in 1988. Major news organizations predict the state to elect another Republican governor in 2024.[3]

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Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Jay
Ashcroft		 Bill
Eigel		 Mike
Kehoe		 Other Undecided
Battleground Connect[upper-alpha 1] July 30–31, 2024 896 (LV) ± 3.1% 26% 17% 26% 16%[lower-alpha 2] 15%
Remington Research Group[upper-alpha 1] July 22–24, 2024 500 (LV) – 29% 18% 29% – 24%
The Tyson Group[upper-alpha 2] July 14–16, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 29% 13% 18% – 40%
ARW Strategies (R) June 27–30, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 19% 19% 24% – 38%
Remington Research (R)[upper-alpha 1] June 19–20, 2024 701 (LV) ± 3.6% 31% 9% 29% – 31%
Emerson College June 17–19, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 23% 6% 20% 5%[lower-alpha 3] 46%
American Viewpoint[upper-alpha 3] June 2–4, 2024 800 (LV) - 27% 16% 27% - 30%
Peak Insights May 15–18, 2024 400 (LV) ± 5.0% 22% 14% 20% - 42%
American Viewpoint[upper-alpha 3] May 13–15, 2024 600 (LV) - 33% 12% 23% - 32%
Tyson Group[upper-alpha 4] April 23–26, 2024 504 (LV) ± 4.3% 36% 3% 11% 9%[lower-alpha 4] 40%
YouGov/Saint Louis University February 14–26, 2024 414 (LV) ± 5.54% 28% 8% 10% 4%[lower-alpha 5] 49%
Remington Research (R)[upper-alpha 1] February 14–15, 2024 706 (LV) ± 3.6% 35% 5% 22% – 38%
ARW Strategies (R) February 5–7, 2024 611 (V) ± 3.96% 36% 13% 13% – 38%
Remington Research (R)[upper-alpha 1] January 18–19, 2024 806 (LV) ± 3.3% 34% 4% 20% – 42%
Show Me Victories (D) October 26–31, 2023 407 (LV) ± 4.9% 18% 6% 19% – 49%
Remington Research (R)[upper-alpha 1] September 27–28, 2023 714 (LV) ± 3.4% 32% 5% 15% – 48%
Remington Research (R)[upper-alpha 1] July 5–7, 2023 706 (LV) ± 3.4% 34% 4% 14% – 38%
Remington Research (R)[upper-alpha 1] November 15–16, 2022 940 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 4% 10% – 42%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 5] March 8–10, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 54% – 19% 8% 19%

Debates

Dates Location Ashcroft Eigel Kehoe Link
July 25, 2024 St. Louis Participant Participant Absent YouTube

Results

File:Missouri Governor Republican primary, 2024.svg
Results by county:
Kehoe
  •   >60%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   30–40%
Eigel
  •   >50%
  •   40–50%
  •   30–40%
Ashcroft
  •   30–40%

Kehoe secured a modest victory, carrying 88 counties, as well as the city of St. Louis. He performed the best in Shelby County, while Eigel, the runner-up, earned his best result in Grundy County. Finally, Ashcroft narrowly surpassed Kehoe in Greene County.[23]

Republican primary results[24]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Kehoe 274,840 39.4
Republican Bill Eigel 227,012 32.6
Republican Jay Ashcroft 162,086 23.2
Republican Amber Thomsen 10,627 1.5
Republican Chris Wright 9,358 1.3
Republican Darrell McClanahan 5,637 0.8
Republican Robert Olson 2,975 0.4
Republican Jeremy Gundel 2,946 0.4
Republican Darren Grant 1,866 0.3
Total votes 697,347 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Sheryl Gladney, customer service agent[7]
  • Mike Hamra, restaurant conglomerate owner[26]
  • Hollis Laster[7]
  • Eric Morrison, pastor and candidate for governor in 2016 and 2020[7]

Disqualified

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Sheryl
Gladney		 Mike
Hamra		 Crystal
Quade		 Other Undecided
Remington Research Group July 10-22, 2024 600 (LV) ± 3.8% 4% 23% 21% 9% 43%
YouGov/Saint Louis University February 14–26, 2024 396 (LV) ± 5.57% 4% 5% 21% 4% 66%
Show Me Victories (D) October 26–31, 2023 407 (RV) ± 4.9% – 2% 39% – 58%

Results

File:2024-missouri-governor-democratic-primary.svg
Results by county:
Quade
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   30–40%
Hamra
  •   50-60%
  •   40–50%
  •   30–40%
  •   20–30%
Tie
  •   20–30%

Quade led the race, winning slightly more than half of the votes, as well as 90 county equivalents out of 115.[lower-alpha 6] She performed the best in Greene County, where the city of Springfield is located. Conversely, Hamra recorded his best result in Harrison County, with some more than 50% of the vote. Morrison failed to win a single county, but still managed to tie Pemiscot County, earning as many votes there as Hamra did.[36]

Democratic primary results[24]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Crystal Quade 189,822 50.2
Democratic Mike Hamra 119,702 31.7
Democratic Eric Morrison 36,985 9.8
Democratic Sheryl Gladney 25,287 6.7
Democratic Hollis Laster 5,973 1.6
Total votes 377,769 100.0

Third-party and independent candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[37] Solid R June 13, 2024
Inside Elections[38] Solid R July 14, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[39] Safe R June 4, 2024
RCP[40] Likely R July 13, 2024
Elections Daily[41] Safe R July 12, 2023
CNalysis[42] Solid R August 17, 2024

Post-primary endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Mike
Kehoe (R)		 Crystal
Quade (D)		 Other Undecided
Research Co. November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 52% 38% 3% 7%
Remington Research Group[upper-alpha 1] October 28–29, 2024 721 (LV) – 51% 40% 1%[lower-alpha 7] 8%
ActiVote October 11–27, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 58% 42% – –
Remington Research Group[upper-alpha 1] October 2–3, 2024 753 (LV) ± 3.2% 51% 41% 1%[lower-alpha 8] 7%
ActiVote September 3 – October 1, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 60% 40% – –
Emerson College[upper-alpha 6] September 12–13, 2024 850 (LV) ± 3.3% 52% 36% 1%[lower-alpha 9] 11%
Remington Research Group[upper-alpha 1] September 4–5, 2024 940 (LV) – 52% 34% – 14%
YouGov/Saint Louis University August 8–16, 2024 900 (LV) ± 3.79% 51% 41% 3%[lower-alpha 10] 6%
Show Me Victories (D) October 26–31, 2023 407 (RV) ± 4.9% 38% 33% – 29%

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Hypothetical polling
Jay Ashcroft vs. Crystal Quade
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Jay
Ashcroft (R)		 Crystal
Quade (D)		 Other Undecided
Remington Research (R)[upper-alpha 1] March 6–8, 2024 713 (LV) ± 3.9% 53% 36% – 11%
Show Me Victories (D) October 26–31, 2023 407 (RV) ± 4.9% 39% 34% – 27%
Bill Eigel vs. Crystal Quade
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Bill
Eigel (R)		 Crystal
Quade (D)		 Other Undecided
Show Me Victories (D) October 26–31, 2023 407 (RV) ± 4.9% 33% 34% – 33%
Mike Kehoe vs. Mike Hamra
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Mike
Kehoe (R)		 Mike
Hamra (D)		 Other Undecided
Show Me Victories (D) October 26–31, 2023 407 (RV) ± 4.9% 37% 27% – 36%
Jay Ashcroft vs. Mike Hamra
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Jay
Ashcroft (R)		 Mike
Hamra (D)		 Other Undecided
Show Me Victories (D) October 26–31, 2023 407 (RV) ± 4.9% 39% 29% – 32%
Bill Eigel vs. Mike Hamra
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Bill
Eigel (R)		 Mike
Hamra (D)		 Other Undecided
Show Me Victories (D) October 26–31, 2023 407 (RV) ± 4.9% 33% 30% – 37%

Debate

2024 Missouri gubernatorial election debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic Libertarian Green
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Kehoe Quade Slantz Lehmann
1 Sep. 20, 2024 Missouri Press Association David Lieb YouTube P P P P

Results

2024 Missouri gubernatorial election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Mike Kehoe
Democratic Crystal Quade
Libertarian Bill Slantz
Green Paul Lehmann
Total votes

Notes

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Partisan clients

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References

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External links

Official campaign websites
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