2020 Indiana gubernatorial election

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For related races, see 2020 United States gubernatorial elections.
2020 Indiana gubernatorial election
← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
  x150px x150px x150px
Nominee Eric Holcomb Woody Myers Donald Rainwater
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian
Running mate Suzanne Crouch Linda Lawson William Henry
Popular vote 1,706,727 968,094 345,569
Percentage 56.51% 32.05% 11.44%
170px
170px
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Holcomb:      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Myers:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No data
Governor before election

Eric Holcomb
Republican

 Elected Governor

Eric Holcomb
Republican

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The 2020 Indiana gubernatorial election was won by incumbent Republican Eric Holcomb on November 3, 2020. The election was held concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Holcomb was eligible to run for re-election to a second term in office, and announced his intention to do so on July 13, 2019 alongside his lieutenant governor, Suzanne Crouch.[1] He faced Democrat Woody Myers, the former health commissioner of Indiana (and later, of New York City) and his running mate, Linda Lawson, the former minority leader of the Indiana House of Representatives, in addition to Libertarian Donald Rainwater, a U.S. Navy veteran and his running mate William Henry.[2][3] Primary elections were held on June 2; Holcomb and Myers ran unopposed.

In the general election, Holcomb won re-election to a second term. Myers also became the first major party candidate to receive fewer than one million votes since Republican David McIntosh in 2000.[4] The election was also notable for the strong performance of Libertarian candidate Rainwater, who finished in second place, behind Holcomb and ahead of Myers, in over one-third of Indiana's counties, 33 out of 92.[5] The stronger-than-expected performance by Rainwater was perceived to be a reaction to Governor Holcomb's response to the COVID-19 pandemic, with Rainwater pushing for fewer government restrictions.[6]

The Associated Press’s large-scale pre-election survey found that Eric Holcomb won white Hoosiers 62–27%, while Myers won black Hoosiers 76–20%.[7]

This election marked the worst performance by a Democratic candidate for governor in Indiana history.[8]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Removed from ballot

Declined

Results

Republican primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Eric Holcomb (incumbent) 524,496 100.00%
Total votes 524,496 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Withdrew

Declined

Results

Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Woody Myers 408,230 100.00%
Total votes 408,230 100.00%

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominee

  • Running mate: William Henry

Eliminated at convention

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[29] Safe R October 23, 2020
Inside Elections[30] Safe R October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Safe R November 2, 2020
Politico[32] Likely R November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[33] Safe R October 28, 2020
RCP[34] Safe R November 2, 2020
270towin[35] Safe R November 2, 2020

Endorsements

Polling

Graphical summary

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Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Eric
Holcomb (R)		 Woody
Myers (D)		 Donald
Rainwater (L)		 Other /
Undecided
Cygnal October 21–23, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 47% 29% 15% 10%[lower-alpha 2]
Ragnar Research (R) October 18–21, 2020 529 (LV) ± 4% 52% 26% 14% 8%[lower-alpha 3]
SurveyUSA[upper-alpha 1] October 10–13, 2020 527 (LV) ± 5.2% 55% 25% 10% 11%[lower-alpha 4]
BK Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 2] October 4–5, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 60% 21% 8% 11%
Change Research September 3–7, 2020 1,033 (LV) ± 3.1% 36% 30% 24% 10%
BK Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 2] May 20–21, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 64% 21% – 15%
Change Research April 10–13, 2020 1,021 (LV) ± 3.1% 45% 25% 8% 22%[lower-alpha 5]

Results

Holcomb won reelection by over 24 percentage points, the biggest margin of victory for an Indiana gubernatorial candidate since Evan Bayh in 1992 as well as the biggest ever for a Republican. Exit polls show Holcomb won over 30% of voters who voted for Democrat Joe Biden for president. This is also one of the strongest performances for a third party candidate in a statewide election in Indiana, with Libertarian nominee Donald Rainwater receiving over 11% of the total vote. Rainwater outperformed Myers in several counties; his best performance was in Putnam County, where he received nearly 26% of the vote.

Indiana gubernatorial election, 2020[47][48][49]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican
1,706,727 56.51% +5.13%
Democratic
968,094 32.05% -13.37%
Libertarian
  • Donald Rainwater
  • William Henry
 345,567 11.44% +8.24%
Total votes 3,020,388 100.00% N/A
Turnout 3,068,625 65.58%
Registered electors 4,751,370
Republican hold

By county

Vote breakdown by county[47]
Holcomb/Crouch
Republican		 Myers/Lawson
Democratic		 Rainwater/Henry
Libertarian		 Total
County Votes  % Votes  % Votes  % Votes
Adams 9,441 66.7% 2,143 15.1% 2,570 18.2% 14,154
Allen 98,406 58.5% 53,895 32.0% 16,011 9.5% 168,312
Bartholomew 21,959 60.9% 9,013 25.0% 5,065 14.1% 36,037
Benton 2,815 68.7% 671 16.4% 614 15.0% 4,100
Blackford 3,333 63.1% 933 17.7% 1,017 19.3% 5,283
Boone 23,737 61.7% 9,661 25.1% 5,094 13.2% 38,492
Brown 4,953 55.3% 2,381 26.6% 1,623 18.1% 8,957
Carroll 6,077 63.9% 1,569 16.5% 1,864 19.6% 9,510
Cass 8,833 58.3% 3,373 22.3% 2,940 19.4% 15,146
Clark 34,669 60.4% 19,077 33.2% 3,680 6.4% 57,426
Clay 8,164 67.0% 1,780 14.6% 2,242 18.4% 12,186
Clinton 7,971 61.8% 2,406 18.7% 2,514 19.5% 12,891
Crawford 3,064 63.1% 1,242 25.6% 553 11.4% 4,859
Daviess 8,313 70.1% 1,531 12.9% 2,016 17.0% 11,860
Dearborn 18,353 72.6% 4,559 18.0% 2,383 9.4% 25,295
Decatur 7,911 64.5% 1,562 12.7% 2,787 22.7% 12,260
Dekalb 13,042 66.9% 3,293 16.9% 3,158 16.2% 19,493
Delaware 26,829 56.0% 15,638 32.6% 5,482 11.4% 47,949
Dubois 14,403 66.7% 4,586 21.2% 2,599 12.0% 21,588
Elkhart 46,223 62.1% 20,512 27.6% 7,690 10.3% 74,425
Fayette 6,933 69.0% 1,707 17.0% 1,414 14.1% 10,054
Floyd 24,972 60.0% 14,948 35.9% 1,669 4.0% 41,589
Fountain 5,189 65.3% 1,150 14.5% 1,613 20.3% 7,952
Franklin 8,633 73.0% 1,690 14.3% 1,499 12.7% 11,822
Fulton 5,436 59.6% 1,603 17.6% 2,084 22.8% 9,123
Gibson 11,607 72.0% 2,990 18.5% 1,533 9.5% 16,130
Grant 16,847 62.3% 5,849 21.6% 4,325 16.0% 27,021
Greene 9,579 65.2% 2,511 17.1% 2,604 17.7% 14,694
Hamilton 117,749 60.8% 58,714 30.3% 17,121 8.8% 193,584
Hancock 25,647 59.9% 8,538 19.9% 8,624 20.1% 42,809
Harrison 14,083 69.7% 4,514 22.3% 1,602 7.9% 20,199
Hendricks 50,697 57.5% 23,179 26.3% 14,246 16.2% 88,122
Henry 12,491 59.3% 4,128 19.6% 4,442 21.1% 21,061
Howard 24,359 60.1% 9,871 24.3% 6,317 15.6% 40,547
Huntington 11,759 66.3% 2,804 15.8% 3,168 17.9% 17,731
Jackson 11,714 61.2% 3,234 16.9% 4,188 21.9% 19,136
Jasper 10,378 67.5% 2,904 18.9% 2,089 13.6% 15,371
Jay 5,227 62.2% 1,240 14.8% 1,938 23.1% 8,405
Jefferson 9,076 62.4% 3,711 25.5% 1,750 12.0% 14,537
Jennings 7,547 62.1% 1,930 15.9% 2,676 22.0% 12,153
Johnson 47,467 61.4% 17,630 22.8% 12,177 15.8% 77,274
Knox 11,210 70.8% 2,809 17.7% 1,821 11.5% 15,840
Kosciusko 23,029 64.6% 5,784 16.2% 6,845 19.2% 35,658
Lagrange 7,520 71.1% 1,690 16.0% 1,365 12.9% 10,575
Lake 94,841 43.7% 112,352 51.7% 10,039 4.6% 217,232
LaPorte 26,129 53.7% 18,133 37.3% 4,356 9.0% 48,618
Lawrence 13,371 64.1% 3,616 17.3% 3,881 18.6% 20,868
Madison 29,434 56.8% 14,254 27.5% 8,118 15.7% 51,806
Marion 152,405 39.0% 203,475 52.1% 34,974 8.9% 390,854
Marshall 13,145 66.4% 4,025 20.3% 2,634 13.3% 19,804
Martin 3,232 63.1% 709 13.9% 1,177 23.0% 5,118
Miami 9,208 64.1% 2,439 17.0% 2,714 18.9% 14,361
Monroe 24,605 39.4% 33,033 52.8% 4,885 7.8% 62,523
Montgomery 10,587 61.6% 2,812 16.4% 3,785 22.0% 17,184
Morgan 22,161 61.6% 5,602 15.6% 8,184 22.8% 35,947
Newton 4,358 66.5% 1,148 17.5% 1,050 16.0% 6,556
Noble 12,498 65.5% 3,237 17.0% 3,353 17.6% 19,088
Ohio 2,210 69.4% 641 20.1% 335 10.5% 3,186
Orange 5,591 63.8% 1,952 22.3% 1,216 13.9% 8,759
Owen 5,857 59.5% 1,852 18.8% 2,137 21.7% 9,846
Parke 4,766 68.4% 1,127 16.2% 1,079 15.5% 6,972
Perry 5,523 63.9% 2,518 29.1% 607 7.0% 8,648
Pike 4,199 68.4% 1,092 17.8% 850 13.8% 6,141
Porter 45,996 53.2% 33,397 38.6% 7,131 8.2% 86,524
Posey 9,648 72.9% 2,773 21.0% 809 6.1% 13,230
Pulaski 3,874 67.2% 1,019 17.7% 875 15.2% 5,768
Putnam 9,375 56.7% 2,876 17.4% 4,269 25.8% 16,520
Randolph 7,399 67.3% 1,863 16.9% 1,732 15.8% 10,994
Ripley 9,518 67.0% 2,231 15.7% 2,458 17.3% 14,207
Rush 4,949 62.8% 1,215 15.4% 1,716 21.8% 7,880
Scott 6,065 60.8% 2,297 23.0% 1,613 16.2% 9,975
Shelby 12,269 61.8% 3,499 17.6% 4,099 20.6% 19,867
Spencer 7,272 68.2% 2,461 23.1% 926 8.7% 10,659
St. Joseph 60,696 52.9% 48,610 42.4% 5,387 4.7% 114,693
Starke 6,730 66.1% 2,026 19.9% 1,427 14.0% 10,183
Steuben 11,407 70.9% 2,939 18.3% 1,739 10.8% 16,085
Sullivan 6,009 67.4% 1,550 17.4% 1,357 15.2% 8,916
Switzerland 2,846 69.8% 822 20.1% 412 10.1% 4,080
Tippecanoe 37,979 53.3% 26,179 36.8% 7,057 9.9% 71,215
Tipton 5,169 64.0% 1,200 14.9% 1,707 21.1% 8,076
Union 2,533 73.2% 603 17.4% 323 9.3% 3,459
Vanderburgh 46,490 60.1% 27,242 35.2% 3,658 4.7% 77,390
Vermillion 4,938 66.9% 1,531 20.7% 917 12.4% 7,386
Vigo 25,917 59.8% 13,999 32.3% 3,419 7.9% 43,335
Wabash 9,111 62.8% 2,421 16.7% 2,979 20.5% 14,511
Warren 3,009 67.5% 672 15.1% 777 17.4% 4,458
Warrick 22,703 67.7% 9,074 27.1% 1,747 5.2% 33,524
Washington 7,919 65.6% 2,408 19.9% 1,746 14.5% 12,073
Wayne 16,914 61.2% 7,534 27.3% 3,172 11.5% 27,620
Wells 9,371 66.7% 1,967 14.0% 2,712 19.3% 14,050
White 7,334 65.8% 1,978 17.8% 1,826 16.4% 11,138
Whitley 11,522 66.0% 2,738 15.7% 3,191 18.3% 17,451
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Holcomb won 7 of 9 congressional districts.[50]

District Holcomb Myers Rainwater Representative
1st 47% 48% 6% Frank J. Mrvan
2nd 59% 31% 10% Jackie Walorski
3rd 62% 24% 13% Jim Banks
4th 59% 25% 16% Jim Baird
5th 56% 34% 10% Victoria Spartz
6th 63% 22% 15% Greg Pence
7th 37% 53% 10% André Carson
8th 65% 25% 10% Larry Bucshon
9th 58% 30% 12% Trey Hollingsworth

Notes

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Partisan clients

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References

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External links

Official campaign websites
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  49. ↑ https://www.in.gov/sos/elections/voter-information/files/Election_Turnout_and_Registration_20201202_052923PM.pdf[bare URL PDF]
  50. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.


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