2018 Nevada gubernatorial election
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150px County results
Sisolak: 40-50% 50–60% Laxalt: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% |
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Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2018 Nevada gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next Governor of Nevada. Incumbent Republican Governor Brian Sandoval, was not eligible to run for reelection due to term limits established by the Nevada Constitution. Nevada is one of eight states that prohibits its governors from serving more than two terms for life.
The candidate filing deadline was March 16, 2018 and the primary election was held on June 12, 2018.[1] The Republican nominee was Adam Laxalt and the Democratic nominee was Steve Sisolak. Steve Sisolak won the election, becoming the first Democrat to be elected Governor of Nevada since Bob Miller won his second full term in 1994 and the first non-incumbent democrat to win since 1982.
Contents
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominated
Eliminated in primary
- William W. Boyd, small business owner[3]
- Stephanie Carlisle, businesswoman[4]
- Jared Fisher, small business owner[5]
- Dan Schwartz, Nevada State Treasurer and candidate for NV-04 in 2012 (endorsed Laxalt)[6][7][8]
Declined
- Mark Amodei, U.S. Representative (running for re-election)[9][10]
- Joe Heck, former U.S. Representative and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016[11][12]
- Dean Heller, U.S. Senator (endorsed Laxalt and running for re-election)[13][14][15]
- Steve Hill, former executive director of the Nevada Governor's Office of Economic Development[16][17]
- Mark Hutchison, lieutenant governor (endorsed Laxalt)[18][19][16][20]
- Ron Knecht, Nevada State Controller (running for re-election)[16][21]
- Brian Krolicki, former lieutenant governor[22][23]
Endorsements
| Adam Laxalt |
|---|
|
| Declined to endorse |
|---|
|
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Adam Laxalt |
Dan Schwartz |
Jared Fisher |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Mellman Group | April 12–19, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 55% | 4% | 2% | 38% |
| WPA Intelligence (R) | August 6–8, 2017 | 302 | ± 5.7% | 64% | 5% | – | 31% |
| Doug Schoen (D) | July 7–20, 2017 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 34% | 30% | – | 35% |
Results
File:2018 Nevada gubernatorial Republican primary.svg
Results by county:
Laxalt
-
Laxalt—80–90%
-
Laxalt—70–80%
-
Laxalt—60–70%
| Republican primary results[45] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Republican | Adam Laxalt | 101,651 | 71.5 | |
| Republican | Dan Schwartz | 12,919 | 9.1 | |
| Republican | Jared Fisher | 6,696 | 4.7 | |
| Republican | Stephanie Carlisle | 6,401 | 4.5 | |
| Republican | None of These Candidates | 6,136 | 4.3 | |
| Republican | William Boyd | 6,028 | 4.2 | |
| Republican | Stan Lusak | 1,011 | 0.7 | |
| Republican | Frederick Conquest | 766 | 0.5 | |
| Republican | Edward Dundas | 576 | 0.4 | |
| Total votes | 141,884 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominated
- Steve Sisolak, chair of the Clark County Commission[46]
Eliminated in primary
- Kyle Chamberlain, activist and photographer[47]
- Chris Giunchigliani, vice-chair of the Clark County Commission and candidate for Mayor of Las Vegas in 2011[48]
Declined
- Aaron Ford, Majority Leader of the Nevada Senate (running for Attorney General)[18][49][50]
- Vince Juaristi, consultant and former gubernatorial aide[51][52]
- Tick Segerblom, state senator (running for Clark County Commission)[49][53]
- Dina Titus, U.S. Representative and nominee for governor in 2006 (endorsed Sisolak and running for re-election)[49][54]
Endorsements
Endorsements
| Steve Sisolak |
|---|
|
| Chris Giunchigliani |
|---|
|
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Giunchigliani |
Steve Sisolak |
None of these |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benenson Strategy Group (D-Women Vote!) | May 21–23, 2018 | 608 | ± 4.0% | 35% | 38% | 11% | 2% | 13% |
| The Mellman Group | April 12–19, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 16% | 44% | – | – | 40% |
| Expedition Strategies (D-Giunchigliani) | March 17–19, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 31% | 27% | 18% | – | 23% |
Results
File:2018 NV gubernatorial Democratic primary.svg
Democratic primary results by county:
Sisolak
-
50–60%
-
40–50%
-
30–40%
Giunchigliani
-
30–40%
-
40–50%
-
50–60%
None of These Candidates
-
<30%
| Democratic primary results[45] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Democratic | Steve Sisolak | 72,749 | 50.0 | |
| Democratic | Christina Giunchigliani | 56,511 | 38.9 | |
| Democratic | None of These Candidates | 5,069 | 3.5 | |
| Democratic | John Bonaventura | 4,351 | 3.0 | |
| Democratic | Henry Thorns | 2,761 | 1.9 | |
| Democratic | David Jones | 2,511 | 1.7 | |
| Democratic | Asheesh Dewan | 1,468 | 1.0 | |
| Total votes | 145,420 | 100.0 | ||
Independents
Declared
- Ryan Bundy, rancher[79]
Endorsements
| Ryan Bundy |
|---|
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[82] | Tossup | October 26, 2018 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[83] | Tilt D | October 12, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[84] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
| Real Clear Politics[85] | Tossup | October 30, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[86] | Tossup | October 26, 2018 |
| Fox News[87] | Tossup | October 30, 2018 |
| Politico[88] | Tossup | October 30, 2018 |
| Governing[89] | Tossup | October 30, 2018 |
| The Washington Post[90] | Tossup | October 16, 2018 |
| FiveThirtyEight[91] | Tossup | October 30, 2018 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Adam Laxalt (R) |
Steve Sisolak (D) |
Jared Lord (L) |
Ryan Bundy (I) |
None of these |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | – | – | – | – | – |
| HarrisX | November 2–4, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | – | – | – | – | – |
| Emerson College | November 1–4, 2018 | 1,197 | ± 3.0% | 47% | 48% | – | – | – | 4% | 2% |
| HarrisX | November 1–3, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | – | – | – | – | – |
| HarrisX | October 31 – November 2, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 47% | 43% | – | – | – | – | – |
| HarrisX | October 30 – November 1, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 43% | – | – | – | – | – |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | October 29 – November 1, 2018 | 2,587 | ± 1.9% | 47% | 45% | – | – | – | 4% | 4% |
| HarrisX | October 29–31, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | – | – | – | – | – |
| HarrisX | October 24–30, 2018 | 1,400 | ± 2.6% | 43% | 45% | – | – | – | – | – |
| CNN/SSRS | October 24–29, 2018 | 622 LV | ± 4.8% | 45% | 46% | 2% | – | 5% | 0% | 2% |
| 807 RV | ± 4.2% | 40% | 44% | 3% | – | 9% | 0% | 3% | ||
| Gravis Marketing | October 24–26, 2018 | 773 | ± 3.5% | 44% | 46% | – | – | – | – | 10% |
| Ipsos | October 12–19, 2018 | 1,137 | ± 3.0% | 46% | 41% | – | – | – | 4% | 9% |
| Vox Populi Polling | October 13–15, 2018 | 614 | ± 3.7% | 48% | 52% | – | – | – | – | – |
| Emerson College | October 10–12, 2018 | 625 | ± 4.2% | 46% | 41% | – | – | – | 3% | 11% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 8–10, 2018 | 642 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | – | – | – | – | 8% |
| Marist College | September 30 – October 3, 2018 | 574 LV | ± 5.5% | 44% | 40% | 8% | – | 2% | <1% | 6% |
| 46% | 45% | – | – | 3% | <1% | 6% | ||||
| 780 RV | ± 4.5% | 41% | 40% | 8% | – | 2% | <1% | 8% | ||
| 44% | 45% | – | – | 4% | <1% | 7% | ||||
| Kaiser Family Foundation/SSRS | September 19 – October 2, 2018 | 513 | ± 5.0% | 46% | 40% | – | – | – | 2% | 12% |
| CNN/SSRS | September 25–29, 2018 | 693 LV | ± 4.6% | 41% | 45% | 5% | – | 7% | 0% | 1% |
| 851 RV | ± 4.1% | 38% | 41% | 5% | – | 12% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Ipsos | September 7–17, 2018 | 1,039 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 40% | – | – | – | 5% | 12% |
| Gravis Marketing | September 11–12, 2018 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 38% | 50% | – | – | – | – | 8% |
| Suffolk University | September 5–10, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 35% | 37% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1%[92] | 15% |
| Suffolk University | July 24–29, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 41% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 2%[93] | 7% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R-Laxalt) | July 21–24, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 40% | 3% | – | – | 4%[94] | 8% |
| Gravis Marketing | June 23–26, 2018 | 630 | ± 3.9% | 43% | 41% | – | – | – | – | 17% |
| The Mellman Group | April 12–19, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 37% | 43% | – | – | – | – | 20% |
| TargetSmart (D-Giunchigliani) | January 3–7, 2018 | 1,103 | ± 4.4% | 37% | 34% | – | – | – | – | 29% |
| Remington (R-Laxalt) | May 23–24, 2017 | 1,021 | ± 3.1% | 46% | 37% | – | – | – | – | 17% |
|
Hypothetical polling |
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|
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Steve Sisolak | 480,007 | 49.39% | +25.51% | |
| Republican | Adam Laxalt | 440,320 | 45.31% | -25.27% | |
| n/a | None of These Candidates | 18,865 | 1.94% | -0.94% | |
| Independent | Ryan Bundy | 13,891 | 1.43% | N/A | |
| Independent American | Russell Best | 10,076 | 1.04% | -1.62% | |
| Libertarian | Jared Lord | 8,640 | 0.89% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 971,799 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | |||||
See also
References
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- ↑ [1]
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- ↑ 7.0 7.1 https://www.facebook.com/DanForNevada/photos/a.383898051741566/1304459089685453
- ↑ 8.0 8.1 https://twitter.com/Dan4Nevada/status/1006733292215734272
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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- ↑ https://www.facebook.com/adam.laxalt/videos/698586743842944
- ↑ https://twitter.com/AdamLaxalt/status/1040317205248827392
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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- ↑ https://twitter.com/AmericanLedger/status/1041010735172804609
- ↑ 45.0 45.1 Nevada Primary Election Results
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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- ↑ 49.0 49.1 49.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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- ↑ https://www.reviewjournal.com/news/politics-and-government/nevada/nevada-governor-candidate-steve-sisolak-endorsed-by-barack-obama/
- ↑ https://www.rgj.com/story/news/politics/2018/08/31/obama-backs-sisolak-nevada-governors-race/1159282002/
- ↑ https://www.reviewjournal.com/news/politics-and-government/nevada/sisolak-ex-u-s-attorney-general-talk-criminal-justice-reform/
- ↑ https://lasvegassun.com/news/2018/sep/06/holder-in-las-vegas-endorses-sisolak-for-governor/
- ↑ https://lasvegassun.com/news/2018/may/28/reid-ad-boosts-democrat-sisolak-in-nevada-governor/
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ https://www.rgj.com/story/news/politics/2017/12/22/democratic-rep-dina-titus-supports-sisolak-nevada-governor-primary/977110001/
- ↑ https://lasvegassun.com/news/2017/dec/23/titus-supports-sisolak-for-governor-sees-nlv-mayor/
- ↑ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZLudXtIzDZc
- ↑ https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/17/us/politics/bloomberg-president-2020-democrat.html
- ↑ https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/nevada-leaders-speak-out-as-trump-administration-moves-to-phase-out-daca-protections-for-young-immigrants
- ↑ https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/reno-mayor-endorses-sisolak-for-governor
- ↑ https://www.kolotv.com/content/news/Reno-Mayor-Hillary-Schieve-endorses-Steve-Sisolak-for-governor-492782281.html
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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- ↑ Adam Laxalt loses endorsement after condemning Dennis Hof
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- ↑ Russell Best (IA) with 1%
- ↑ Russell Best (AI) with 2%
- ↑ Russell Best (AI) with 4%
- ↑ http://www.silverstateelection.com/NVOther/#race6
External links
- Official campaign websites
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